What We’re Tracking:
- Rain possible Monday as system moves east
- Pleasant into midweek
- Becoming hot again by the weekend
You could tell it was still August across Northeast Kansas on Saturday with a partly cloudy sky, humid conditions and highs in the low to mid 90s. Clouds increased Saturday night so it was mostly cloudy at daybreak Sunday. Steady rain steadily worked into the region. It was into Manhattan by 8am and into the Greater Topeka area by 11am. This was yet another beneficial rain and our third in the past 2.5 weeks.
The upper trough from the Rockies and a deepening surface low, that helped generate widespread showers and storms yesterday, continues to influence our area today. Deeper moisture that was surging toward us Sunday is slowly shifting east. Low pressure was centered near Wichita on Sunday afternoon with the warm front just south. That scenario put the best chance for isolated supercells to occur south of I-35 where sheer was also moderate.
Occasional showers will occur today as the upper low slowly exits, so expect a cloudy sky and periods of wet weather. The probability remains fairly high, but amounts will be much, much less than what we saw just 12-18 hours ago. Wind will increase as well, and it should become west/northwest at 20-30mph this afternoon into early evening. That is the same time that showers should either move away or dissipate.
Greater Topeka Monday…
Dew Points: 62-66
Wind: W/NW 15-30
With cool-air advection it will be tough to get out of the 70s today. Decreasing clouds should occur late Monday night into Tuesday and some fog is certainly possible early tomorrow.
Tuesday might be an extremely pleasant day by August standards, but we may see some elevated precipitation early Wednesday through early Thursday. After the mild midweek period, temperatures will rebound with a zonal flow and warmer air on south/southwest surface wind. That means, we should expect a return of 90-95 numbers for Friday to Sunday with partly cloudy and more humid conditions.
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Periods of rain and much stronger wind should be expected….
KSNT Storm Track Meteorologist David George